The EU nations held elections for the European Parliament from May 23rd through May 26th, and it took several days to digest the results. It is now apparent that the outcomes in many nations have deeply troubled the EU leaders about the future (and viability) of the EU itself. EU advocates will put a good “spin” on the results noting–correctly–that only about 1/3rd of voters chose to vote for populist/nationalist or Euro-skeptic parties. However, what they will not say is that the way the EU was structured to be a cozy oligarchy of the insider elites, populist/Euro-skeptic parties were not expected to exist at all, much less receive vote totals this high. It is also true that the populist, Euro-skeptic parties only need do well in a certain number of large European nations to jeopardize the existence of the EU itself, and the EU elections showed this may be in the process of happening. Let’s examine closely the EU parliamentary election results, but first a word about the EU Parliament itself for the proper context in evaluating the results of the EU parliamentary election.
The European Parliament has the title of a functioning parliament, but it lacks the power of a real parliament. For example, it is forbidden to initiate laws (first link) so it is mostly a debating society (like the UN General Assembly) with few real powers. It has the “right” to rubber-stamp the EU leaders, but it cannot select them. The EU Council and the EU Commission have the real power within the EU, not the Parliament. Indeed, the EU is structured to be an oligarchy, not a democracy. The real powers of the EU are invested in the EU Commission and its President and the hordes of EU bureaucrats in Brussels who report to the EU Commission. The top leaders of the EU are not elected by the voters of Europe neither are they accountable to them. The EU is mostly a club dominated by the top industrialists, bankers and the insiders of the public and private sectors in Europe. The writers of the EU’s governing structure clearly did not want the common people of Europe to ever have any real “say” in their own futures so they created EU institutions which insulated the EU’s leaders from the common voters of all the European nations. This massive disconnect between the EU leaders and the European voters could lead to the collapse of the EU itself. Europe’s voters feel real connections to the national heads-of-state in Europe’s nations because they can elect them and remove them from power in national elections. Since the voters of Europe have no such meaningful connection to the EU leaders, they have no loyalty to them either. The loyalty of Europe’s voters has focused on their national leaders and political parties whose members serve in national parliaments with real powers to make laws (more on this later). Since the EU Parliament has minimal powers, the real impact of the EU elections is what it reveals about the state of national politics within the larger Europe’s nations. The Big Four, of Europe’s nations, are Germany, the United Kingdom, France, and Italy. Poland and Spain form the second tier of larger nations, but Europe has a lot of small nations that ally themselves to the large nations for collective security. Let’s first look at how the elections affected the Big Four nations of Europe.
Germany: The EU election in Germany was very bad news for the globalists. Germany has long been governed by either the center-right CDU/CSU alliance or the leftist SPD party. Both are establishment parties and currently, they share power in a coalition government. The second link offers insights into how Germany is becoming internally realigned. While it reports the governing coalition had 28.9% for the CDU/CSU and a 15.8% share for the SPD, they both suffered big drops in their share of the vote. The SPD especially lost a lot of its base to the growing Green party, which garnered 20.5% of the vote. The rightist AfD party received 11% of the vote. Notice that the combined share of the vote for the governing coalition parties was significantly less than 50% of the vote, so if German national elections had been held, this coalition could not govern Germany. The Greens are a growing leftist party while the SPD is steadily losing support. The AfD party polls weakly in western German states, but it is a leading party in the states of the old East Germany. Indeed, three Eastern German states hold regional elections later this year, and the AfD might win some of those elections (second link). If this happens, it will give the AfD national credibility and further roil German politics. The terrible showing of the SPD is putting pressure on it to leave the coalition with the CDU/CSU (third link). If it does, new German elections will be held, and it could result in a splintered election resulting in a deadlock wherein it will be hard for any party to form a coalition. If Germany has to limp along with a caretaker government, it will greatly hurt the globalist cause as Germany is the primary pro-EU national government. A further problem is that Angela Merkel’s designated successor to lead the CDU into the next election is now deeply unpopular in Germany (fourth link), which means the CDU may need to find a new leader for the next national election in order to avoid a humiliating loss.
The United Kingdom:
In France, the party of the deeply pro-EU leader, Emmanuel Macron, lost the EU election (seventh link). The party of the deeply anti-EU French opposition leader, Marine Le Pen, won the EU election. However, the vote was close. The Euroskeptic party won by a 24%-22.5% margin. The Green party came in third, and a conservative party finished fourth. Macron has also been hurt by the Yellow Vest movement within France that has protested for months against Macron’s aloof and seemingly out-of-touch government. If Macron’s party loses to Le Pen’s party in the next election, and Le Pen forms the next French government, it may be curtains for the EU. With the UK leaving the EU and Italy already firmly in the Euro-skeptic camp if France also elects a Euro-skeptic leader and Germany’s next election results in an electoral stalemate, the pro-EU bloc will have no strong voice among the four biggest European nations. It is hard to see how the EU would survive in such paralyzed political circumstances.
Italy’s Euro-skeptic/nationalist/populist government decisively won the EU elections. As his League Party won with 34.3% of the vote, Italy’s Interior Minister, Matteo Salvini, noting the Euro-skeptic wins in Italy, France, and the United Kingdom, declared that “A new Europe is born” (eighth link). Salvini is becoming a strong leader of the European Euro-skeptic parties as he hosted many of the nationalist/populist party leaders from across Europe in Italy just prior to the EU elections. The eighth link also analyzes Salvini’s win in Italy in the context of the major wins by populist/nationalist parties in France and the UK.
For additional perspectives on the EU elections as well as more nation-by-nation voting results, please read the ninth link and tenth link from the BBC and Fox News.
To conclude this EU election analysis, the EU has two structural weaknesses which may be incurable. The first is the aforestated one that Europe’s voters are not allowed to vote to select the top EU leaders. That right is reserved to an insider club of European insiders. Because there is no electoral connection between the EU leaders and the voters of Europe, the EU’s top leaders will never enjoy a critical need for any governing body…legitimacy. The modern EU can be seen as an effort to restore aspects of the Medieval system of government that was present in Europe for many centuries. The rulers of Europe’s Medieval empires and kingdoms lived well and had all the power, while all the commoners were mere serfs whose only role was to do what they were told. Modern European voters are merely serfs in the EU’s overall structure. Other nations see this reality also. Because the EU’s top leaders are neither elected by nor accountable to Europe’s voters, the EU’s top leaders can never command the respect received by national leaders who really are selected by a vote of their citizens. Just because the EU has an entity called a “parliament” does not make, the EU, a democracy. The EU is not a democracy, and it has no intention of becoming one. It is at best an oligarchy of Europe’s elites.
The second great weakness of the EU is it has some of the trappings of a nation-state without being anywhere close to one in actual fact. Real nations have both “hard power” and “soft power.” Hard power consists of the military forces that are under the command of the head of a nation state. Soft power applies to diplomatic, economic and financial power, but soft power is a function of and is directly proportional to a nation’s level of hard power. For example, the USA, Russia, and China have a great deal of hard power so their soft power is great because of the hard power that backs their diplomatic and economic actions and goals. Nations such as the United Kingdom, France, India, Pakistan, Israel and North Korea have considerable soft power because they have nuclear weapons–the source of major-league hard power in this world’s geopolitics (as an aside, Israel doesn’t admit to having nukes, but everyone “knows” it to be a fact). The EU has no army, no navy, no air force, and no nukes; therefore, it has no hard power. Without any hard power, it doesn’t really have much soft power either. Periodically, the EU tries to establish an EU military force, but these efforts have so far been abortive as they have been resisted by the nations of Europe. I think one reason for this fact is that Europe’s nations do not trust the EU enough to allow it to have any real hard power.
To conclude with a biblical perspective, long-time readers of this blog know that I take a literal view of biblical prophecy due its uncannily accurate results in predicting modern-day events (see my free article, Are We Living in the Biblical Latter Days?). Many previous posts have noted the prophecy in Revelation 17-18 that the global political/financial power structure will experience a colossal and permanent collapse at some point in the latter days. Since the EU and its Euro currency are principal parts of the current globalist political/financial power structure that is prophesied to fall, I expect that the EU will not ultimately survive in its current form. I do not “set dates,” but the fractures that are growing within the EU and its pertinently flawed internal structure argue its time of collapse is drawing nearer. If the EU collapses, it is entirely possible that the Euro currency could collapse as well–which could trigger a global financial meltdown. Such an event could easily trigger a cascading collapse of global markets which would fulfill the prophecy in Revelation 17-18. For in-depth analysis of biblical prophecies about this prophesied end-time global crisis, please read my free articles, Is Babylon the Great about to Fall…Ushering in a Global Beast System? and The Babylonian Origin of the Modern Banking System.