There was a recent flurry of media stories that chances were rising that an asteroid might hit the earth in the year 2032. This asteroid has been called a “city killer” in some articles, but it does not rise to the level of an extinction level event like the impact that wiped out the dinosaurs.
The first link reviews the gradual rise in the chances that astronomers stated had occurred as time went on. In December, 2024 the space scientists said there was a 1% chance of the asteroid hitting the earth on December 22, 2032. On February 7, 2025 the chances of an impact rose to 2.3% and on February 18, 2025 the asteroid-monitoring astronomers announced the chances had risen to 3.1%. The projected path of the asteroid was even calculated: It could impact the earth somewhere along a line stretching from the Eastern Pacific Ocean across Northern South America, the Atlantic Ocean, Africa, the Arabian Sea and into South Asia. The third link reported that cities in the path of the asteroid included Bogota, Columbia, Lagos, Nigeria and Mumbai, India. That offers considerable specificity.
The public began to take notice and the steady rise in the chances of an earth-impacting event was especially worrisome. Then something happened. The second link reports that the data was recalculated “overnight” to drop the chance of an earth-impacting event to 1.5%. I wonder what was recalculated? Did the path or speed of the asteroid change? Not likely. Did the earth’s orbital path change? Obviously, the answer is No. That covers the possible variables. So what data could have changed? I suspect that the scientific community was “told” that people were getting nervous and they needed to drop the reported odds of an impact to calm the masses. Naming possible cities that could be hit is potentially bad for business and could even start an exodus from the named cities. Therefore, presto-chango, the odds dropped back to 1.5% “overnight.”
I doubt that any data actually changed. I suspect that in an effort to quiet growing public fears, the human assumptions that determine how the data was interpreted changed in a way that the odds dropped back closer to the initial projections. In any statistical calculation, it is possible to “revise” the numerical outcome by tweaking the assumptions that underpin the analysis. After all, there are seven years to watch the asteroid approach earth and a realistic calculation of an earth-impact can be made years from now. What has happened via the sudden reinterpretation of the data is that the general public has essentially been told: “Move on. There is nothing to see here.”
We have all seen documentaries about the death of the dinosaurs and that large asteroids (or comets and meteors) inevitably hit earth as the eons go by, and that is impossible to know when such an event could occur. The fourth link has an interesting tidbit of information. It reports that China is taking the risk of an asteroid hitting the earth in 2032 seriously. The Chinese can also “do the math” regarding the approaching asteroid, and their findings have stimulated China to start a “Planetary Defense Force” to deflect or intercept approaching asteroids. The link notes that China could be using the approach of an asteroid as an excuse to further weaponize space to China’s advantage. That is entirely possible, but these two goals are not mutually exclusive. Having a planetary defense system to deflect or blow up approaching asteroids, meteors and comets is a worthwhile goal. That is why the USA has a team of astronomers who monitor the heavens looking for earth-approaching celestial objects.
The Bible also has a specific prophecy about two such celestial objects hitting earth in the latter days of our age. Revelation 8:6-13 foretells seven last “trumpet plagues” will occur at the very end of our current age before the return of Jesus Christ to impose Divine rule on planet earth. The first such impact is described in verses 8-9. It describes a “great mountain burning with fire” that impacts into the sea and destroys much sea-life and sinks one-third of the ships in that sea. To have numerous merchant ships in a particular sea, it must be an ocean. Any such impact of a large asteroid into an ocean would cause terrible tsunamis in all directions-sinking ships and destroying structures along coastlines. If you have not seen the movie, Deep Impact, I urge you to do so. It depicts the efforts that could be undertaken to intercept the approaching asteroid and the panic that would surely ensue. The movie depicts the approaching asteroid as a “burning mountain” that is “cast into the sea”-exactly what is described in Revelation 8:8-9. Revelation 8:10-11 describes a second heavenly object impacting the earth. The second impact hits the earth somewhere on land where there are rivers and sources of rivers. It describes the approaching object as a “great star from heaven” burning bright “like a lamp.” This sounds more like an approaching comet, which would approach earth with a very visible glowing appearance. The purpose of these final plagues is to induce mankind to repent before its Creator, and Revelation 7 states that there will be a “great multitude that no man could number” which does repent, but Revelation 19:11-20:4 argues the majority of earth’s nations and armies will not repent. They will fight Jesus Christ and his heavenly army and the multi-national army of humans will be vaporized. Their manner of death is also described in Zechariah 14:12: a manner of death depicted accurately in the movie, Raiders of the Lost Ark.
Back to the asteroid that may hit the earth in 2032: The size of that asteroid is still not specifically known and the damage it could cause is highly speculative at this point. Will it be the earth-impacting object described in Revelation 9:8-9? The current estimates of the size of the approaching asteroid would seem to make it too small to cause the damage described in Revelation 8. However, what if the asteroid turns out to be much bigger than current estimates? Even though there are teams of astronomers scanning the heavens for objects that could hit earth, they can’t possibly find them all. The objects that will fulfill Revelation 8’s prophecy may not yet be identified among the myriads of heavenly objects in the sky. One thing is for sure: They are “out there” and they are heading toward earth already. When the time comes, they will become quite visible as they approach earth.
- https://www.newsnationnow.com/
space/asteroid-earth-odds- impact/ - https://www.usatoday.com/
story/news/nation/2025/02/19/ asteroid-yr4-hitting-earth- odds-2032-nasa/79167778007/ - https://www.
scientificamerican.com/ article/city-killer-asteroids- earth-impact-risk-rises-to- highest-ever-recorded/ - https://www.worldtribune.com/
chinas-planetary-defense- force-seen-justifying-space- militarization/
